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Race · U.S. House · New Jersey · 2026

New Jersey District 7 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, New Jersey District 7

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Race header

U.S. House, New Jersey District 7 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Rebecca Bennett
78%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
OTHOn the ballot
Seamus Patrick O'Toole
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Thomas H. Kean Jr. incumbent
22%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentThomas H. Kean Jr.

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
78% Rebecca Bennett · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Rebecca Bennett 78%
REP Thomas H. Kean Jr. 22%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) EVEN as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat REP 51.8% 2024 general · margin 5.4%

Side by side

3 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMBennettOTHO'TooleREPKean
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Rebecca Bennett$8,757,003.38
Seamus Patrick O'TooleNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Thomas H. Kean Jr.$6,128,373.01
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Rebecca Bennett$7,703,548.93
Seamus Patrick O'TooleNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Thomas H. Kean Jr.$4,811,253.77
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Rebecca Bennett$1,053,454.45
Seamus Patrick O'TooleNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Thomas H. Kean Jr.$1,365,405.91
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Rebecca BennettNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seamus Patrick O'TooleNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Thomas H. Kean Jr.Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Rebecca BennettEVENseat-level
Seamus Patrick O'TooleEVENseat-level
Thomas H. Kean Jr.EVENseat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    EVEN
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    -0.228

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Thomas H. Kean, JR.REP223,33151.77%
    Sue AltmanDEM200,02546.37%
    Andrew BlackGRN4,2580.99%
    Lana LeguiaLIB3,7840.88%

    Total votes 431,398 · winning margin 5.40% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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