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Race · U.S. House · Tennessee · 2026

Tennessee District 7 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Tennessee District 7

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Race header

U.S. House, Tennessee District 7 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Darden Copeland
6%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
INDOn the ballot
Andrew J. Koontz
—Not published for this candidate
INDOn the ballot
Lowell Reynolds
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Matt Van Epps incumbent
94%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentMatt Van Epps

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
94% Matt Van Epps · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP Matt Van Epps 94%
DEM Darden Copeland 6%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

Side by side

4 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMCopelandINDKoontzINDReynoldsREPEpps
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Darden Copeland$1,257,202.49
Andrew J. Koontz$5,100.00
Lowell ReynoldsNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Matt Van Epps$2,646,914.76
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Darden Copeland$1,183,516.61
Andrew J. Koontz$129.77
Lowell ReynoldsNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Matt Van Epps$2,288,459.51
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Darden Copeland$73,685.88
Andrew J. Koontz$4,970.23
Lowell ReynoldsNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Matt Van Epps$358,455.25
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Darden CopelandNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Andrew J. KoontzNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Lowell ReynoldsNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Matt Van EppsNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Darden CopelandNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Andrew J. KoontzNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Lowell ReynoldsNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Matt Van EppsNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    not available

    Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.

    Prior result, this seat

    not available

    Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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