Race header
DEMNominee
Sylvia Garcia
incumbent
99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Martha Fierro
1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentSylvia Garcia
Hume Outlook
99% Sylvia Garcia · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM
Sylvia Garcia
99%
REP
Martha Fierro
1%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMGarciaREPFierro
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Sylvia Garcia$1,201,321.76
Martha Fierro$585.00
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Sylvia Garcia$1,337,311.57
Martha Fierro$93.28
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Sylvia Garcia$235,764.00
Martha Fierro$491.72
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Sylvia GarciaNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Martha FierroNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Sylvia GarciaNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Martha FierroNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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