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Race · U.S. House · Louisiana · 2026

Louisiana District 2 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Louisiana District 2

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Race header

U.S. House, Louisiana District 2 · Incumbent running
DEMOn the ballot
Troy Carter incumbent
>99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
INDOn the ballot
Renada Collins
—Not published for this candidate
INDOn the ballot
Walter Beach
—Not published for this candidate
LIBOn the ballot
Lisa Ballay
<1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPOn the ballot
Peter Williams
<1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
How this election worksLouisiana votes in an open primary on Nov. 3. If no one wins a majority, the top two go to a runoff on Dec. 12. Each Hume Outlook figure is the chance to win the seat, including that runoff, so Nov. 3 may not settle this race.
IncumbentTroy Carter

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
>99% Troy Carter · DemocratChance to win the seat across the named field, including a runoff if no one reaches a majority
DEM Troy Carter >99%
REP Peter Williams <1%
LIB Lisa Ballay <1%
All other candidates <1%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

Side by side

5 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMCarterINDCollinsINDBeachLIBBallayREPWilliams
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Troy Carter$1,941,169.25
Renada CollinsNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Walter BeachNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Lisa Ballay$1,110.00
Peter WilliamsNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Troy Carter$1,820,112.04
Renada CollinsNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Walter BeachNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Lisa Ballay$500.00
Peter WilliamsNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Troy Carter$630,466.36
Renada CollinsNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Walter BeachNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Lisa Ballay$610.00
Peter WilliamsNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Troy CarterNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Renada CollinsNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Walter BeachNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Lisa BallayNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Peter WilliamsNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Troy CarterNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Renada CollinsNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Walter BeachNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Lisa BallayNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Peter WilliamsNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    not available

    Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.

    Prior result, this seat

    not available

    Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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