PA-14 House 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. House, Pennsylvania District 14 · Incumbent running

DEMNominee

Alan Bradstock

2%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

REPNominee

Guy Reschenthaler incumbent

98%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentGuy Reschenthaler

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

98% Guy Reschenthaler · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates

REP Guy Reschenthaler 98%

DEM Alan Bradstock 2%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI) R+18 as of cycle 2020

Prior result, this seat REP 66.6% 2024 general · margin 33.1%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMBradstockREPReschenthaler

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Alan Bradstock$406,025.96

Guy Reschenthaler$5,037,694.90

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Alan Bradstock$333,189.33

Guy Reschenthaler$4,873,669.77

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Alan Bradstock$72,836.63

Guy Reschenthaler$713,105.29

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Alan BradstockNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Guy ReschenthalerNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Alan BradstockR+18seat-level

Guy ReschenthalerR+18seat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2020

R+18

Lean (D minus R, points): -18.043

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2024 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
Guy Reschenthaler	REP	268,380	66.57%
Chris Dziados	DEM	134,755	33.43%

Total votes 403,135 · winning margin 33.15% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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