Influence no longer invisible Races · AL-04 House 2026
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Race · U.S. House · Alabama · 2026

Alabama District 4 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Alabama District 4

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Race header

U.S. House, Alabama District 4 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Amanda N. Pusczek
<1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Robert B. Aderholt incumbent
>99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentRobert B. Aderholt

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
>99% Robert B. Aderholt · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP Robert B. Aderholt >99%
DEM Amanda N. Pusczek <1%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMPusczekREPAderholt
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Amanda N. Pusczek$22,283.07
Robert B. Aderholt$1,238,586.19
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Amanda N. Pusczek$19,340.31
Robert B. Aderholt$1,485,770.63
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Amanda N. Pusczek$2,371.34
Robert B. Aderholt$719,711.90
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Amanda N. PusczekNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Robert B. AderholtNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Amanda N. PusczekNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Robert B. AderholtNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    not available

    Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.

    Prior result, this seat

    not available

    Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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