GA-06 House 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. House, Georgia District 6 · Incumbent running

DEMNominee

Lucy McBath incumbent

>99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

REPNominee

Kevin Martin

<1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentLucy McBath

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

>99% Lucy McBath · DemocratChance to win the seat, including a runoff if no one reaches a majority

DEM Lucy McBath >99%

REP Kevin Martin <1%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+22 as of cycle 2020

Prior result, this seat DEM 74.7% 2024 general · margin 49.4%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-03-31, 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMMcbathREPMartin

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Lucy McBath$1,189,989.22through 2026-10-14

Kevin Martin$10,320.00through 2026-03-31

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Lucy McBath$1,460,928.00through 2026-10-14

Kevin Martin$10,220.00through 2026-03-31

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Lucy McBath$682,335.67through 2026-10-14

Kevin Martin$100.00through 2026-03-31

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Lucy McBathNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Kevin MartinNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Lucy McBathD+22seat-level

Kevin MartinD+22seat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2020

D+22

Lean (D minus R, points): +22.093

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2024 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
Lucy McBath	DEM	277,027	74.68%
Jeff Criswell	REP	93,909	25.32%

Total votes 370,936 · winning margin 49.37% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Mar 31, 2026 or Oct 14, 2026, by candidate) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

Federal law prohibits the sale or use of contributor information copied from FEC reports, by any person, for the purpose of soliciting contributions (including charitable contributions) or for any commercial purpose. 52 U.S.C. §30111(a)(4); 11 C.F.R. §104.15. Hidden Levers does not provide contributor contact information.