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Race · U.S. House · Michigan · 2026

Michigan District 13 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Michigan District 13

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Race header

U.S. House, Michigan District 13 · Open seat
CONOn the ballot
Chris Dardzinski
—Not published for this candidate
DEMNominee
Donavan McKinney
>99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
GRNOn the ballot
Raelyn Light
—Not published for this candidate
OTHOn the ballot
Simone R. Coleman
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
T.P. Nykoriak
<1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentNot available

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
>99% Donavan McKinney · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Donavan McKinney >99%
REP T.P. Nykoriak <1%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+24 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat DEM 68.7% 2024 general · margin 44.1%

Side by side

5 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureCONDardzinskiDEMMckinneyGRNLightOTHColemanREPNykoriak
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Chris DardzinskiNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Donavan McKinney$1,876,779.88
Raelyn LightNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Simone R. ColemanNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
T.P. NykoriakNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Chris DardzinskiNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Donavan McKinney$1,747,106.34
Raelyn LightNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Simone R. ColemanNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
T.P. NykoriakNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Chris DardzinskiNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Donavan McKinney$129,673.54
Raelyn LightNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Simone R. ColemanNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
T.P. NykoriakNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Chris DardzinskiNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Donavan McKinneyNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Raelyn LightNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Simone R. ColemanNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
T.P. NykoriakNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Chris DardzinskiD+24seat-level
Donavan McKinneyD+24seat-level
Raelyn LightD+24seat-level
Simone R. ColemanD+24seat-level
T.P. NykoriakD+24seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    D+24
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    +23.670

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Shri ThanedarDEM220,78868.65%
    Martell D. BivingsREP78,91724.54%
    Simone R. ColemanOTH13,3674.16%
    Chris ClarkLIB5,7261.78%
    Chris DardzinskiOTH2,8250.88%

    Total votes 321,623 · winning margin 44.11% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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