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Race · U.S. House · Florida · 2026

Florida District 28 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Florida District 28

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Race header

U.S. House, Florida District 28 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Phil Felipe Ehr
17%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
INDOn the ballot
Eddy Rojas
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Carlos A. Gimenez incumbent
83%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentCarlos A. Gimenez

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
83% Carlos A. Gimenez · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP Carlos A. Gimenez 83%
DEM Phil Felipe Ehr 17%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

Side by side

3 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-09-30, 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMEhrINDRojasREPGimenez
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Phil Felipe Ehr$508,311.39through 2026-09-30
Eddy RojasNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Carlos A. Gimenez$722,290.55through 2026-10-14
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Phil Felipe Ehr$88,022.34through 2026-09-30
Eddy RojasNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Carlos A. Gimenez$757,535.32through 2026-10-14
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Phil Felipe Ehr$506,962.57through 2026-09-30
Eddy RojasNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Carlos A. Gimenez$540,783.20through 2026-10-14
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Phil Felipe EhrNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Eddy RojasNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Carlos A. GimenezNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Phil Felipe EhrNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Eddy RojasNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Carlos A. GimenezNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    not available

    Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.

    Prior result, this seat

    not available

    Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

    Sources: FEC filings (through Sep 30, 2026 or Oct 14, 2026, by candidate) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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