Race header
DEMNominee
Robert People
12%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Laurel Lee
incumbent
88%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentLaurel Lee
Hume Outlook
88% Laurel Lee · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Laurel Lee
88%
DEM
Robert People
12%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMPeopleREPLee
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Robert People$82,518.46
Laurel Lee$2,711,189.14
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Robert People$55,893.61
Laurel Lee$1,825,503.39
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Robert People$26,624.85
Laurel Lee$1,320,456.25
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Robert PeopleNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Laurel LeeNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Robert PeopleNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Laurel LeeNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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