Race header
DEMNominee
Kimberly Hardy
24%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
LIBOn the ballot
Maad Abu-Ghazalah
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
David Rouzer
incumbent
76%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentDavid Rouzer
Hume Outlook
76% David Rouzer · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
David Rouzer
76%
DEM
Kimberly Hardy
24%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
3 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMHardyLIBAbu-GhazalahREPRouzer
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Kimberly Hardy$390,475.48
Maad Abu-Ghazalah$8,899.41
David Rouzer$2,534,038.14
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Kimberly Hardy$370,056.76
Maad Abu-Ghazalah$8,620.77
David Rouzer$2,269,811.29
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Kimberly Hardy$20,418.72
Maad Abu-Ghazalah$278.64
David Rouzer$1,699,752.56
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Kimberly HardyNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Maad Abu-GhazalahNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
David RouzerNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Kimberly HardyNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Maad Abu-GhazalahNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
David RouzerNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
Federal law prohibits the sale or use of contributor information copied from FEC reports, by any person, for the purpose of soliciting contributions (including charitable contributions) or for any commercial purpose. 52 U.S.C. §30111(a)(4); 11 C.F.R. §104.15. Hidden Levers does not provide contributor contact information.