Influence no longer invisible Races · TX-30 House 2026
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Race · U.S. House · Texas · 2026

Texas District 30 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Texas District 30

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Race header

U.S. House, Texas District 30 · Open seat
DEMNominee
Frederick D. Haynes III
>99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Everett Jackson
<1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentNot available

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
>99% Frederick D. Haynes III · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Frederick D. Haynes III >99%
REP Everett Jackson <1%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMHaynesREPJackson
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Frederick D. Haynes III$694,864.53
Everett Jackson$25,348.99
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Frederick D. Haynes III$535,828.88
Everett Jackson$22,885.98
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Frederick D. Haynes III$159,035.65
Everett Jackson$2,463.01
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Frederick D. Haynes IIINot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Everett JacksonNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Frederick D. Haynes IIINot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Everett JacksonNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    not available

    Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.

    Prior result, this seat

    not available

    Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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