Race header
DEMNominee
Victoria Broderick
5%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
INDOn the ballot
Clay Faircloth
—Not published for this candidate
INDOn the ballot
Jacob Kristopher Anders
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Scott DesJarlais
incumbent
95%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentScott DesJarlais
Hume Outlook
95% Scott DesJarlais · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Scott DesJarlais
95%
DEM
Victoria Broderick
5%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
4 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMBroderickINDFairclothINDAndersREPDesjarlais
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Victoria Broderick$94,216.96through 2026-10-14
Clay FairclothNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Jacob Kristopher Anders$2,267.06through 2026-09-30
Scott DesJarlais$667,181.20through 2026-10-14
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Victoria Broderick$90,061.87through 2026-10-14
Clay FairclothNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Jacob Kristopher Anders$1,461.66through 2026-09-30
Scott DesJarlais$508,165.92through 2026-10-14
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Victoria Broderick$11,847.54through 2026-10-14
Clay FairclothNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Jacob Kristopher Anders$805.40through 2026-09-30
Scott DesJarlais$525,033.64through 2026-10-14
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Victoria BroderickNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Clay FairclothNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Jacob Kristopher AndersNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Scott DesJarlaisNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Victoria BroderickNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Clay FairclothNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Jacob Kristopher AndersNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Scott DesJarlaisNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Sep 30, 2026 or Oct 14, 2026, by candidate) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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