Race header
DEMNominee
Ashley Bell
8%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
LIBOn the ballot
Steven Feldman
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Pat Harrigan
incumbent
92%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentPat Harrigan
Hume Outlook
92% Pat Harrigan · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Pat Harrigan
92%
DEM
Ashley Bell
8%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
3 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMBellLIBFeldmanREPHarrigan
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Ashley Bell$147,720.19
Steven Feldman$48,754.35
Pat Harrigan$1,318,233.19
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Ashley Bell$135,900.99
Steven Feldman$64,673.75
Pat Harrigan$908,096.37
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Ashley Bell$11,774.20
Steven Feldman$1,294.84
Pat Harrigan$462,978.17
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Ashley BellNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Steven FeldmanNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Pat HarriganNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Ashley BellNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Steven FeldmanNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Pat HarriganNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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