WI-05 House 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. House, Wisconsin District 5 · Incumbent running

DEMNominee

Andrew Beck

4%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

REPNominee

Scott Fitzgerald incumbent

96%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentScott Fitzgerald

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

96% Scott Fitzgerald · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates

REP Scott Fitzgerald 96%

DEM Andrew Beck 4%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI) R+14 as of cycle 2020

Prior result, this seat REP 64.5% 2024 general · margin 28.9%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-06-30, 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMBeckREPFitzgerald

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Andrew Beck$14,612.26through 2026-06-30

Scott Fitzgerald$1,729,316.51through 2026-10-14

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Andrew Beck$11,590.40through 2026-06-30

Scott Fitzgerald$1,360,307.00through 2026-10-14

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Andrew Beck$3,158.02through 2026-06-30

Scott Fitzgerald$1,206,615.31through 2026-10-14

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Andrew BeckNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Scott FitzgeraldNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Andrew BeckR+14seat-level

Scott FitzgeraldR+14seat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2020

R+14

Lean (D minus R, points): -14.431

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2024 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
Scott Fitzgerald	REP	300,521	64.47%
Ben Steinhoff	DEM	165,653	35.53%

Total votes 466,174 · winning margin 28.93% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Jun 30, 2026 or Oct 14, 2026, by candidate) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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