Race header
DEMNominee
Evan Hunt
6%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Keith Self
incumbent
94%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentKeith Self
Hume Outlook
94% Keith Self · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Keith Self
94%
DEM
Evan Hunt
6%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMHuntREPSelf
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Evan Hunt$702,785.91
Keith Self$887,245.18
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Evan Hunt$646,670.58
Keith Self$704,254.69
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Evan Hunt$56,115.33
Keith Self$292,331.38
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Evan HuntNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Keith SelfNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Evan HuntNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Keith SelfNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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