Race header
DEMNominee
Chelsey Hockett
8%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Lance Gooden
incumbent
92%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentLance Gooden
Hume Outlook
92% Lance Gooden · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Lance Gooden
92%
DEM
Chelsey Hockett
8%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMHockettREPGooden
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Chelsey Hockett$56,907.83
Lance Gooden$1,526,218.36
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Chelsey Hockett$-43,669.28
Lance Gooden$899,736.90
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Chelsey Hockett$27,222.70
Lance Gooden$1,343,838.42
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Chelsey HockettNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Lance GoodenNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Chelsey HockettNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Lance GoodenNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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