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Race · U.S. House · Maryland · 2026

Maryland District 4 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Maryland District 4

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Race header

U.S. House, Maryland District 4 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Glenn Ivey incumbent
>99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
GRNOn the ballot
Sam Husseini
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
George E. McDermott
<1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentGlenn Ivey

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
>99% Glenn Ivey · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Glenn Ivey >99%
REP George E. McDermott <1%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+39 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat DEM 88.7% 2024 general · margin 77.5%

Side by side

3 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMIveyGRNHusseiniREPMcdermott
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Glenn Ivey$886,967.08
Sam HusseiniNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
George E. McDermottNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Glenn Ivey$698,789.04
Sam HusseiniNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
George E. McDermottNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Glenn Ivey$493,566.36
Sam HusseiniNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
George E. McDermottNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Glenn IveyNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Sam HusseiniNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
George E. McDermottNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Glenn IveyD+39seat-level
Sam HusseiniD+39seat-level
George E. McDermottD+39seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    D+39
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    +38.922

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Glenn IveyDEM239,59688.72%
    George McDermottREP30,45411.28%

    Total votes 270,050 · winning margin 77.45% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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