Race header
DEMAdvanced to the general
Doris Matsui
incumbent
54%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
DEMAdvanced to the general
Mai Vang
46%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentDoris Matsui
Hume Outlook
54% Doris Matsui · DemocratLow confidenceChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM
Doris Matsui
54%
DEM
Mai Vang
46%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMMatsuiDEMVang
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Doris Matsui$7,837,818.80
Mai Vang$1,828,417.71
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Doris Matsui$6,148,707.31
Mai Vang$1,439,654.43
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Doris Matsui$1,995,780.29
Mai Vang$388,763.28
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Doris MatsuiNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Mai VangNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Doris MatsuiNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Mai VangNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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