Influence no longer invisible Races · SC-02 House 2026
Hidden Levers
Race · U.S. House · South Carolina · 2026

South Carolina District 2 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, South Carolina District 2

← All 2026 races

Race header

U.S. House, South Carolina District 2 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Zyon Khalifa
16%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
OTHOn the ballot
Dayna Alane Smith
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Joe Wilson incumbent
84%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentJoe Wilson

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
84% Joe Wilson · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP Joe Wilson 84%
DEM Zyon Khalifa 16%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) R+9 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat REP 59.7% 2024 general · margin 19.3%

Side by side

3 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMKhalifaOTHSmithREPWilson
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Zyon KhalifaNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Dayna Alane SmithNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Joe Wilson$1,017,185.81
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Zyon KhalifaNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Dayna Alane SmithNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Joe Wilson$924,450.10
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Zyon KhalifaNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Dayna Alane SmithNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Joe Wilson$137,248.89
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Zyon KhalifaNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Dayna Alane SmithNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Joe WilsonNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Zyon KhalifaR+9seat-level
Dayna Alane SmithR+9seat-level
Joe WilsonR+9seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    R+9
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    -8.503

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Joe WilsonREP211,51459.67%
    David Robinson IIDEM142,98540.33%

    Total votes 354,499 · winning margin 19.33% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

    Federal law prohibits the sale or use of contributor information copied from FEC reports, by any person, for the purpose of soliciting contributions (including charitable contributions) or for any commercial purpose. 52 U.S.C. §30111(a)(4); 11 C.F.R. §104.15. Hidden Levers does not provide contributor contact information.