Race header
DEMNominee
Richard N. Ojeda II
21%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Richard Hudson
incumbent
79%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentRichard Hudson
Hume Outlook
79% Richard Hudson · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Richard Hudson
79%
DEM
Richard N. Ojeda II
21%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Hudson 46.0% · Ojeda 42.0%
Public Policy Polling / House Majority PAC · 2026-10-20
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMOjedaREPHudson
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Richard N. Ojeda II$2,930,069.22
Richard Hudson$4,173,708.23
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Richard N. Ojeda II$2,941,847.53
Richard Hudson$3,879,465.84
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Richard N. Ojeda II$45,572.22
Richard Hudson$925,975.68
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Richard N. Ojeda II42.0%Public Policy Polling · 2026-10-20
Richard Hudson46.0%Public Policy Polling · 2026-10-20
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Richard N. Ojeda IINot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Richard HudsonNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
1 listed · newest first| Pollster / sponsor | Field dates | Sample | Ojeda | Hudson | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy PollingHouse Majority PAC | 2026-10-19 to 2026-10-20 | LV · n=526 | 42.0% | 46.0% | none |
Polling data CC BY 4.0 (FiveThirtyEight / VoteHub).
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Polls: FiveThirtyEight / VoteHub (CC BY 4.0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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