Race header
DEMNominee
Yolanda R. Prince
1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Nathaniel Moran
incumbent
99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentNathaniel Moran
Hume Outlook
99% Nathaniel Moran · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Nathaniel Moran
99%
DEM
Yolanda R. Prince
1%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMPrinceREPMoran
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Yolanda R. Prince$33,181.85
Nathaniel Moran$2,380,646.71
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Yolanda R. Prince$19,850.91
Nathaniel Moran$1,802,029.87
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Yolanda R. Prince$8,231.92
Nathaniel Moran$959,562.96
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Yolanda R. PrinceNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Nathaniel MoranNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Yolanda R. PrinceNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Nathaniel MoranNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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