Race header
DEMOn the ballot
Chauna Banks
—Not published for this candidate
DEMOn the ballot
Lindsay Rubia Garcia
—Not published for this candidate
DEMOn the ballot
Patrick Pat Forbes
—Not published for this candidate
LIBOn the ballot
Rufus Craig
—Not published for this candidate
REPOn the ballot
Blake Miguez
91%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPOn the ballot
Larry Davis III
—Not published for this candidate
REPOn the ballot
Michael Mebruer
—Not published for this candidate
REPOn the ballot
Monique Appeaning
—Not published for this candidate
REPOn the ballot
Rick Edmonds
3%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPOn the ballot
Stephen Wagley
4%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
How this election worksLouisiana votes in an open primary on Nov. 3. If no one wins a majority, the top two go to a runoff on Dec. 12. Each Hume Outlook figure is the chance to win the seat, including that runoff, so Nov. 3 may not settle this race.
IncumbentNot available
Hume Outlook
91% Blake Miguez · RepublicanChance to win the seat across the named field, including a runoff if no one reaches a majority
REP
Blake Miguez
91%
REP
Stephen Wagley
4%
REP
Rick Edmonds
3%
All other candidates
2%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
10 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMBanksDEMGarciaDEMForbesLIBCraigREPMiguezREPDavisREPMebruerREPAppeaningREPEdmondsREPWagley
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Chauna BanksNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Lindsay Rubia GarciaNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Patrick Pat ForbesNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Rufus CraigNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Blake Miguez$7,749,606.17
Larry Davis III$33,216.20
Michael MebruerNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Monique AppeaningNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Rick Edmonds$697,139.24
Stephen Wagley$874,343.55
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Chauna BanksNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Lindsay Rubia GarciaNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Patrick Pat ForbesNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Rufus CraigNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Blake Miguez$6,215,092.80
Larry Davis III$31,397.41
Michael MebruerNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Monique AppeaningNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Rick Edmonds$562,504.37
Stephen Wagley$678,710.42
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Chauna BanksNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Lindsay Rubia GarciaNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Patrick Pat ForbesNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Rufus CraigNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Blake Miguez$1,534,513.37
Larry Davis III$809.04
Michael MebruerNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Monique AppeaningNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Rick Edmonds$134,634.87
Stephen Wagley$195,633.13
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Chauna BanksNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Lindsay Rubia GarciaNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Patrick Pat ForbesNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Rufus CraigNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Blake MiguezNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Larry Davis IIINot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Michael MebruerNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Monique AppeaningNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Rick EdmondsNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Stephen WagleyNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Chauna BanksNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Lindsay Rubia GarciaNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Patrick Pat ForbesNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Rufus CraigNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Blake MiguezNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Larry Davis IIINot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Michael MebruerNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Monique AppeaningNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Rick EdmondsNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Stephen WagleyNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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