Race header
DEMNominee
James T. Martin
20%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
INDOn the ballot
Alexander Cooke
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Brian Mast
incumbent
80%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentBrian Mast
Hume Outlook
80% Brian Mast · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Brian Mast
80%
DEM
James T. Martin
20%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
3 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMMartinINDCookeREPMast
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
James T. Martin$821,778.76
Alexander Cooke$30,244.18
Brian Mast$5,097,731.89
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
James T. Martin$770,880.38
Alexander Cooke$28,859.86
Brian Mast$4,490,346.76
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
James T. Martin$50,898.38
Alexander Cooke$1,384.32
Brian Mast$2,378,762.79
Latest pollpercent, as stored
James T. MartinNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Alexander CookeNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Brian MastNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
James T. MartinNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Alexander CookeNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Brian MastNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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