Race header
DEMAdvanced to the general
Jimmy Panetta
incumbent
99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPAdvanced to the general
Peter Coe Verbica
1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentJimmy Panetta
Hume Outlook
99% Jimmy Panetta · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM
Jimmy Panetta
99%
REP
Peter Coe Verbica
1%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMPanettaREPVerbica
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Jimmy Panetta$3,622,736.66
Peter Coe Verbica$85,541.19
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Jimmy Panetta$1,870,172.79
Peter Coe Verbica$78,720.05
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Jimmy Panetta$5,467,202.48
Peter Coe Verbica$6,821.14
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Jimmy PanettaNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Peter Coe VerbicaNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Jimmy PanettaNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Peter Coe VerbicaNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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