Influence no longer invisible Races · OH-11 House 2026
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Race · U.S. House · Ohio · 2026

Ohio District 11 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Ohio District 11

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Race header

U.S. House, Ohio District 11 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Shontel M. Brown incumbent
>99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Mike Kirchner
<1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentShontel M. Brown

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
>99% Shontel M. Brown · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Shontel M. Brown >99%
REP Mike Kirchner <1%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMBrownREPKirchner
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Shontel M. Brown$1,566,468.32
Mike KirchnerNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Shontel M. Brown$1,177,665.43
Mike KirchnerNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Shontel M. Brown$1,244,616.95
Mike KirchnerNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Shontel M. BrownNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Mike KirchnerNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Shontel M. BrownNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Mike KirchnerNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    not available

    Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.

    Prior result, this seat

    not available

    Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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